November 6, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Economist / YouGov
11/1-3/09; 1,000 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Hillary Clinton: 56 / 37 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 27 / 49
Sarah Palin: 37 / 53 (chart)
Joe Biden: 45 / 41
Harry Reid: 20 / 40
Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 44% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 79 / 15 (chart)
Reps: 13 / 84 (chart)
Inds: 44 / 47 (chart)
Economy: 46 / 47 (chart)
Health Care: 46 / 46 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
16% Approve, 58% Disapprove (chart)
2010 House: General Election
46% Democrat, 37% Republican (chart)
State of the Country
35% Right Direction, 52% Wrong Track (chart)
In February, Congress passed President Obama's $787 billion economic stimulus bill. Do
you think the stimulus bill is working?
27% Yes, 48% No
Overall, given what you know about them, do you support or oppose the proposed changes
to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama Administration?
51% Favor, 49% Oppose (chart)
Do you favor or oppose having a "public option" which would allow individuals to purchase
health insurance coverage from the government?
45% Favor, 31% Oppose
Do you favor increasing the number of troops in Afghanistan?
41% Increase, 42% Decrease, 17% Keep the same
By Emily Swanson on November 6, 2009 2:41 PM
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By Emily Swanson
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
11/2-5/09; 2,400 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 55 / 38 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 38 / 53
Harry Reid: 33 / 56
Mitch McConnell: 16 / 66
John Boehner: 15 / 63
Democratic Party: 42 / 50
Republican Party: 23 / 66
State of the Country
41% Right Direction, 55% Wrong Track (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 6, 2009 12:16 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/30-11/1/09; 1,018 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
In your view, is Barack Obama doing enough to cooperate with the Republicans in Congress, or
not?
49% Yes, 49% No
In your view, are the Republicans in Congress doing enough to cooperate with the Barack Obama,
or not?
31% Yes, 67% No
From everything you have heard or read so far, do you favor or oppose Barack Obama's plan to reform health care?
45% Favor, 53% Oppose (chart)
As you may know, several health care bills have been passed by committees in the U.S. House and Senate and they can be brought before Congress for debate and a final vote at any time. Which of the following do you think Congress should do:
26% Continue working on those bills this fall and make relatively minor changes before passing final legislation
33% Continue working on those bills this fall but pass final legislation only if major changes are made
24% Start work on entirely new bills that would not be ready until some time next year
15% Stop working on any bills that would change the country's health care system
Now thinking specifically about the health insurance plans available to most Americans, would you favor or oppose creating a public health insurance option administered by the federal government that would compete with plans offered by private health insurance companies?
55% Favor, 44% Oppose
By Emily Swanson on November 6, 2009 7:46 AM
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November 5, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Pew Research Center
10/30-11/2/09; 1,001 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)
National
Most Closely Followed Story
29% Reports about swine flu and the vaccine
22% Debate over health care reform
17% Reports about the condition of the U.S. economy
10% The U.S. military effort in Afghanistan
8% The Major League Baseball World Series
2% News about political instability in Pakistan
Are you hearing mostly good news about the economy these days, mostly bad news about the economy or a mix of both good and bad news?
5% Mostly good news, 31% Mostly bad news, 62% A mix of good and bad news
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 2:44 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Capitol Weekly / Probolsky Research (R)
10/26-28/09; 750 likely 2010 primary election voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Probolsky research release)
California
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
37% Whitman, 15% Campbell, 6% Poizner (chart)
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
46% Brown, 19% Newsom (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 1:50 PM
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By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA
11/4/09; 500 adults, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barbara Boxer: 33 / 37 (chart)
Carly Fiorina: 11 / 24
Chuck DeVore: 8 / 15
Al Ramirez: 10 / 12
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 9:52 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Clarus Research Group
10/30-11/1/09; 637 registered voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Clarus release)
Maryland
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. O'Malley: 48 / 40
Sen. Cardin: 46 / 26
Sen. Mikulski: 57 / 28
Pres. Obama: 60 / 33
Maryland will have an election for Governor next year. At this point, would you like to see Martin O'Malley re-elected or would you like to see somebody new get elected?
39% Re-elect, 48% Someone new
2010 Governor
O'Malley 47%, Ehrlich 40%
Maryland will also elect a U.S. Senator next year. At this point, would you like to see Senator Barbara Mikulski re-elected or would you like to see somebody new get elected?
53% Re-elect, 36% Someone new
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 9:44 AM
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By Emily Swanson
USA Today / Gallup
10/31-11/1/09; 1,021 adults, 4% margin of error
301 Republicans, 7% margin of error
347 independents, 7% margin of error
339 Democrats, 7% margin of error
ModE: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release, USA Today story)
National
I'm Going to read you a list of possible Republican candidates in the 2012 presidential election. Please tell me whether you would, or would not, seriously consider supporting each for president
Among Republicans:
Mike Huckabee: 71% Yes, 25% No
Mitt Romney: 65% Yes, 31% No
Sarah Palin: 65% Yes, 33% No
Newt Gingrich: 60% Yes, 35% No
Tim Pawlenty: 32% Yes, 48% No
Haley Barbour: 26% Yes, 52% No
Among all adults:
Mike Huckabee: 40% Yes, 51% No
Mitt Romney: 39% Yes, 51% No
Sarah Palin: 33% Yes, 63% No
Newt Gingrich: 29% Yes, 63% No
Tim Pawlenty: 18% Yes, 60% No
Haley Barbour: 15% Yes, 65% No
Please tell me whether you think each of the following people is qualified or is not qualified to be president
Mike Huckabee: 50% Yes. 36% No
Mitt Romney: 49% Yes, 39% No
Sarah Palin: 31% Yes, 62% No
Newt Gingrich: 44% Yes, 46% No
Tim Pawlenty: 25% Yes. 51% No
Haley Barbour: 18% Yes, 57% No
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 9:26 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Ipsos / McClatchy
1,077 adults, 3% margin of error
525 Democrats, 4.3% margin of error
446 Republicans, 4.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Ipsos release)
National
State of the Country
38% Right Direction, 57% Wrong Track (chart)
Obama Job Approval / Disapproval
53% Approve, 43% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 82 / 15 (chart)
Reps: 21 / 78 (chart)
Inds: 45 / 41 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
29% Approve, 68% Disapprove (chart)
Has the U.S. economy turned the corner on the current crisis, is the worst yet to come, or have things stabilized but not yet begun to improve?
7% Turned the corner, 32% Worst yet to come, 59% Stabilized but yet to improve
2010 House: Generic Ballot
48% Democrat, 41% Republican (chart)
As of right now, do you favor or oppose the healthcare reform proposals presently being discussed?
39% Favor, 49% Oppose (chart)
Creation of a public entity to directly compete with existing health insurance companies.
51% Favor, 43% Oppose
Legislation to permit the creation of insurance co-operatives NOT run by the government.
57% Favor, 35% Oppose
Party ID
34% Democrat, 22% Republican, 44% independent (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 5, 2009 8:28 AM
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November 4, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Benenson Strategy Group (D) / Jack Conway (D)
800 likely Democratic primary voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interveiws
(Benenson release)
Kentucky
2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
Mongiardo 40%, Conway 37%
By Emily Swanson on November 4, 2009 2:35 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Gallup
10/18-19/09; 1,521 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release)
National
Do you think the country is -- or is not -- more deeply divided this year on the major issues facing the country than it has been in the past several years?
68% More deeply, 29% Not more deeply
Regardless of which presidential candidate you preferred, do you think the Obama administration will or will not be able to do each of the following?
Increase respect for the United States abroad:
60% Yes, will, 38% No, will not
Improve the health care system:
46% Yes, 52% No
Reduce unemployment:
51% Yes, 46% No
Control federal spending:
31% Yes, 67% No
Keep the U.S. safe from terrorism:
57% Yes, 40% No
Bring U.S. troops home from Iraq in a way that is not harmful to the U.S.:
56% Yes, 41% No
Bring U.S. troops home from Afghanistan in a way that is not harmful to the U.S.:
46% Yes, 50% No
Heal political divisions in this country:
28% Yes, 69% No
By Emily Swanson on November 4, 2009 10:45 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/30-11/1/09; 952 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
2010 House: Generic Ballot
50% Democratic Candidate, 44% Republican candidate (chart)
Would you say you will definitely vote for the _____, or is it possible you
would change your mind between now and the election?
27% Definitely Democratic, 23% Democratic could change,
22% Republican could change, 22% Definitely Republican
Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Obama, or
more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Obama?
54% Supports Obama 41% Opposes Obama
By Emily Swanson on November 4, 2009 10:17 AM
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By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA
10/30-11/2/09; 1,770 registered voters, 2.4% margin of error
448 likely Republican primary voters, 4.7% margin of error
602 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
Kentucky
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
35% Rand Paul, 32% Trey Grayson, 3% Roger Thoney, 2% Bill Johnson, 1% Brian Fouglas Oerther
2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
39% Dan Mongiardo, 28% Jack Conway, 5% Lillie Miller-Johnson, 2% Darlene Fitzgerald Price,
1% Maurice Marion Sweeney
2010 Governor: General Election
43% Grayson, 39% Conway
48% Grayson, 38% Mongiardo
44% Conway, 39% Paul
43% Mongiardo, 43% Paul
By Emily Swanson on November 4, 2009 9:59 AM
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November 3, 2009
By Emily Swanson
National Organization for Marriage* / QEV Analytics
11/1-2/09; 318 likely voters, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: live telephone interviews
(NOM release)
*National Organization for Marriage has endorsed Doug Hoffman for Congress
New York 23rd Congressional District
2009 House: Special Election
42% Hoffman, 34% Owens, 16% Scozzafava (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 4:51 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Alexi Giannoulias (D) / Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)
10/25-28/09; 805 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(The Hill post)
Illinois
2010 Senate
Giannoulias 46%, Kirk 43%
Kirk 48%, Hoffman 39%
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 3:07 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Change Congress (D) / Research 2000
10/31-11/1/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Change Congress release)
North Carolina
Favorable / Unfavorable
Richard Burr: 39 / 46 (chart)
Richard Burr is up for re-election in 2010. Do you think he should be reelected
to a new six year term, or is it time for someone new?
21% Re-elect, 45% Someone new
2010 Senate (trends)
Burr 42%, Elaine Marshall 35% (chart)
Burr 43%, Bob Etheridge 35%
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 11:20 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
Obama survey: 10/27-28/09; 1,000 adults, 3% margin of error
Clinton survey: 10/30-31/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Rasmussen: Obama, Clinton)
National
If Barack Obama was up for re-election right now, how likely would you be to vote for him??
45% Very/Somewhat, 49% Not very/Not at all
Has the election of Barack Obama as President had a positive influence on race relations, a negative influence on race relations or has it had no impact?
37% Positive, 30% Negative, 26% No impact
Since Barack Obama was elected President, are you doing better or worse economically?
16% Better, 48% Worse, 32% Same
Obama Job Rating
42% Excellent/Good, 57% Fair/Poor
Favorable / Unfavorable
Hillary Clinton: 54 / 43 (chart)
Job Approval / Disapproval
Clinton as Secretary of State: 59 / 37
Suppose Hillary Clinton had won the Democratic Presidential nomination. Would she be doing a better job as President than Barack Obama, a worse job as President, or about the same?
27% Better, 14% Worse, 49% Same
Would Hillary Clinton have had more influence if she remained in the U.S. Senate instead of becoming secretary of State
35% Yes, 36% No
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 10:03 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/30-11/1/09; 1,018 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Obama Job Approval / Disapproval
54% Approve, 45% Disapprove (chart)
Economy: 46 / 54 (chart)
Foreign Affairs: 51 / 47 (chart)
Health Care: 42 / 57 (chart)
In general, would you say that President Obama's views and proposed programs for the country are too liberal, not liberal enough, or just about right for the country?
42% Too liberal, 14% Not liberal enough, 44% About right
Do you think the election of Barack Obama has or has not created significant changes in the
country? If yes: Do you think the country has changed for the better or changed for the worse?
40% Change for the better, 27% Change for the worse, 2% Change but not better or worse,
29% No change
All in all, do you think Barack Obama has been a better president than George W. Bush, or do you think Bush was a better president than Obama has been?
57% Obama better. 34% Bush better
And do you think Joe Biden has been a better vice president than Dick Cheney, or do you think Cheney was a better vice president than Biden has been?
54% Biden better, 38% Cheney better
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 9:46 AM
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By Emily Swanson
University of Texas / Texas Tribune
10/20-27/09; 800 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
357 likely Republican primary voters, 5.2% margin of error
266 likely Democratic primary voters, 6.1% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Texas Tribune: story, results)
Texas
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 41 / 52
Gov. Perry: 36 / 44
Sen. Hutchison: 39 / 27
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
42% Rick Perry, 30% Kay Bailey Hutchison. 7% Debra Medina
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
19% Kinky Friedman, 10% Tom Schieffer, 3% Mark Thompson, 5% Ronnie Earle,
2% Felix Alvarado, .3% Hank Gilbert
2010 Governor: General Election
34% Perry, 33% Generic Democrat, 8% Generic third party
36% Hutchison, 25% Generic Democrat, 9% Third party
36% Perry, 25% Schieffer, 11% Third party
40% Hutchison, 20% Schieffer, 10% Third party
38% Perry, 23% Friedman, 15% Third party
41% Hutchison, 21% Friedman, 12% Third party
38% Perry, 21% Earle, 12% Third party
42% Hutchison, 18% Earle, 10% Third party
If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the senate in order to run for governor and there
is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for,
or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?
13% David Dewhurst (R), 13% Bill White (D), 10% John Sharp (D), 3% Michael Williams (R),
3% Florence Shapiro (R), 2% Elizabeth Ames Jones (R), 1% Roger Williams
By Emily Swanson on November 3, 2009 9:37 AM
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November 2, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Fairleigh Dickinson / PublicMind
10/22-11/1/09; 1,119 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Fairleigh Dickinson release)
New Jersey
Favorable / Unfavorable
Corzine: 40 / 52
Christie: 39 / 45
Daggett: 29 / 21
2009 Governor
Corzine 43%, Christie 41%, Daggett (vol) 8%
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Corzine: 37 / 52
Pres. Obama: 53 / 37
Editors note: This final release by Fairleigh Dickinson combines results from a survey they released last week (conducted 10/22-10/28) with just n=425 interviews conducted since, for which they have not reported results separately. Since our policy is to include only non-overlapping results, and since this latest release would plot on the end-date of an 11 day field period, we have opted to leave it off of our trend estimate chart.
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 3:54 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Talk Business Quarterly / The Political Firm (R) / The Markham Group (D)
10/12-15/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Talk Business Quarterly: story, toplines)
Arkansas
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 40 / 56
Mike Beebe: 71 / 15
Blanche Lincoln: 42 / 46
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 39 / 59
Gov. Beebe: 79 / 13
Blanche Lincoln: 45 / 45
If the 2010 election was held today, and you had to make a choice, would you vote to re-elect Blanche Lincoln as your United States Senator no matter who ran against her?
25% Yes, 61% No
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 3:22 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Democracy Corps (D)
10/29-11/1/09; 606 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(DemCorps release)
New Jersey
Favorable / Unfavorable
Corzine: 39 / 47 (chart)
Christie: 35 / 43
Daggett: 16 / 32
Obama: 55 / 28 (chart)
2009 Governor
41% Corzine, 36% Christie, 14% Daggett (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 1:05 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Monmouth University / Gannett
10/31-11/1/09; 722 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Monmouth release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Corzine 43%, Christie 41%, Daggett 8% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Corzine: 40 / 44 (chart)
Christie: 40 / 38
Daggett: 21 / 21
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Corzine: 36 / 54 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 12:16 PM
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By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA / WDBJ-TV / WJHL-TV / WJLA-TV / WTVR-TV
10/30-11/1/09; 574 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
Virginia
2009 Governor
58% McDonnell, 40% Deeds (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 12:12 PM
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By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA / WABC-TV
10/30-11/1/09; 582 likely & actual voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Christie 45%, Corzine 42%, Daggett 10% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 12:07 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
10/30-31/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
National
Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?
42% Favor, 54% Oppose (chart)
If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?
27% Better, 52% Worse, 15% Same
If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?
55% Up, 23% Down, 17% Same
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 11:20 AM
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By Emily Swanson
St. Petersburg Times / Bay News 9 / Miami Herald / Schroth, Eldon & Associates (D) / The Polling Co. (R)
10/25-28/09; 600 registered voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(St. Petersburg Times: 2010, Crist vs Bush)
Florida
Job Rating
Gov. Crist: 42% Excellent/Good, 55% Fair/Poor (chart)
Pres. Obama: 46 / 51 (chart)
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
50% Charlie Crist, 28% Marco Rubio (chart)
2010 Senate: Democratic Primary (trends)
26% Kendrick Meek, 6% Maurice Ferre
2010 Governor: General Election
38% Alex Sink, 37% Bill McCollum (chart)
If you could pick between former Gov. Jeb Bush and current Gov. Charlie Crist to lead Florida right now, which one would you choose?
46% Bush, 41% Crist
Republicans: 71% Bush, 22% Crist
Do you approve or disapprove of Charlie Crist's appointment of George LeMieux to replace Mel Martinez in the United States Senate?
33% Approve, 26% Disapprove
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 10:22 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Siena
11/1/09; 606 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Siena: release, crosstabs)
New York 23rd Congressional District
Favorable / Unfavorable
Dede Scozzafava (R): 27 / 48
Bill Owens (D): 37 / 38
Doug Hoffman (C): 47 / 33
2009 House: Special Election
Hoffman 41%, Owens 36%, Scozzafava 6% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 10:19 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Quinnipiac
10/29-11/1/09; 1,360 likely voters, 2.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)
New York City
2009 Governor
50% Bloomberg, 38% Thompson, 1% Christopher (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
William Thompson: 45 / 21
Michael Bloomberg: 63 / 28 (chart)
Stephen Christopher: 3 / 7
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 8:15 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Quinnipiac
10/27-11/1/09; 1,533 likely voters, 2.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
42% Christie, 40% Corzine, 12% Daggett (chart)
Daggett voters only: Who is your second choice for governor?
39% Corzine, 29% Christie
Favorable / Unfavorable
Christie: 41 / 40
Corzine: 39 / 53 (chart)
Daggett: 23 / 17
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 8:06 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
10/31-11/1/09; 1,457 likely voters, 2.6% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Virginia
2009 Governor
McDonnell 56%, Deeds 42% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Deeds: 39 / 45
McDonnell: 55 / 35
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 7:28 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
10/31-11/1/01; 1,133 likely voters, 2.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Maine
Question 1 for the upcoming Maine Referendum Election reads 'Do you want to reject the new law that lets same-sex couples marry and allows individuals and religious groups to refuse to perform these marriages?' Do you intend to vote yes or no on Question 1, which would undo the law that lets same sex couples marry?
51% Yes, 47% No (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 2, 2009 12:32 AM
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November 1, 2009
By Mark Blumenthal
Public Policy Polling (D)
10/31-11/1/09; 994 likely voters, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Christie 47%, Corzine 41%, Daggett 11% (chart)
Is your second choice for Governor Chris Christie or Jon Corzine? (Asked only of Daggett voters)
Corzine 45%, Christie 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Christie (R): 43 / 42
Jon Corzine (D): 34 / 58 (chart)
Chris Daggett (i): 24 / 35
Job approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 45 / 45 (chart)
By Mark Blumenthal on November 1, 2009 11:42 PM
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By Mark Blumenthal
Public Policy Polling (D)
10/30-11/01/09; 1,747 likely voters, +/- 2.3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP blog entry and release)
New York 23rd Congressional District
2009 House: Special Election
51% Hoffman, 34% Owens, 13% Scozzafava (chart)
54% Hoffman, 38% Owens (on 2-way choice question)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Bill Owens (D): 35 / 45
Doug Hoffman (C): 50 / 37
Dede Scozzafava (R): 31 / 52
By Mark Blumenthal on November 1, 2009 11:02 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Monmouth University / Gannett
10/28-30/09; 1,041 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Monmouth release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Christie 43%, Corzine 42%, Daggett 8% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine: 39 / 49 (chart)
Chris Christie: 44 / 36
Chris Daggett: 22 / 22
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Corzine: 35 / 55 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 1, 2009 2:12 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Mason-Dixon / Richmond Times-Dispatch
10/28-29/09; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Times-Dispatch article)
Virginia
2009 Governor
53% McDonnell, 41% Deeds (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 43 / 43 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 1, 2009 1:50 PM
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By Emily Swanson
YouGov
10/27-30/09; 742 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(YouGov release)
Virginia
2009 Governor
McDonnell 53%, Deeds 40% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 1, 2009 1:37 PM
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By Emily Swanson
YouGov
10/27-30/09; 780 likely voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(YouGov release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Corzine 43%, Christie 41%, Daggett 8% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 1, 2009 1:27 PM
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October 31, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Siena
10/28-29/09; 704 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Siena: release, crosstabs)
New York 23rd Congressional District
Favorable / Unfavorable
Dede Scozzafava (R): 29 / 51
Bill Owens (D): 40 / 36
Doug Hoffman (C): 41 / 37
2009 House: Special Election
36% Owens, 35% Hoffman, 20% Scozzafava (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 31, 2009 11:21 AM
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October 30, 2009
By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA / WABC-TV
10/28-29/09; 606 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
New York City
2009 Mayor
Bloomberg 53%, Thompson 42% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 5:57 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Economist / YouGov
10/25-27/09; 1,000 adults, 4.7% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)
National
Overall, given what you know about them, do you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama Administration?
53% Support, 47% Oppose (chart)
Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 43% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 82 / 12 (chart)
Reps: 11 / 85 (chart)
Inds: 49 / 43 (chart)
Economy: 43 / 47 (chart)
Health Care: 45 / 45 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
17% Approve, 58% Disapprove (chart)
2010 House: Generic Ballot
47% Democrat, 41% Republican (chart)
State of the Country
36% Right Direction, 49% Wrong track (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 4:08 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Civitas Institute (R) / McLaughlin & Associates (R)
10/20-21/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Civitas release)
North Carolina
2010 Senate (trends)
Richard Burr (R) 44%, Elaine Marshall (D) 33%
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 2:57 PM
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By Emily Swanson
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
10/26-29/09; 2,400 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 56 / 36 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 39 / 53
Harry Reid: 33 / 55
Mitch McConnell: 15 / 67
John Boehner: 13 / 64
Democratic Party: 43 / 49
Republican Party: 21 / 68
State of the Country
42% Right Direction, 54% Wrong track (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 2:24 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
10/29/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
New Jersey
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 55 / 44 (chart)
Gov. Corzine: 41 / 58 (chart)
2009 Governor
46% Christie, 43% Corzine, 8% Daggett (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Christie (R): 48 / 50
Corzine (D): 44 / 54 (chart)
Daggett (i): 37 / 47
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 1:33 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Marist
10/26-28/09; 974 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
524 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
New York City
2009 Mayor
Bloomberg 53%, Thompson 38% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Michael Bloomberg: 61 / 32 (chart)
Bill Thompson: 44 / 31
Job Rating
Mayor Bloomberg: 54% Excellent/Good, 45% Fair/Poor (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 1:26 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Neighborhood Research (R)
10/27-29/09; 341 likely voters, 5.3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Neighborhood release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Christie 42%, Corzine 35%, Daggett 8% (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine: 26 / 48 (chart)
Chris Christie: 34 / 25
Chris Daggett: 11 / 12
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 12:14 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Stockton College / Zogby
10/27-29/09; 1,093 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Stockton release)
New Jersey
2009 Governor
Corzine 40%, Christie 39%, Daggett 14% (chart)
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 12:08 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Elon University
10/26-29/09; 703 adults, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Elon release)
North Carolina
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 53 / 44 (chart)
Sen. Burr: 37 / 22 (chart)
Sen. Hagan: 35 / 35 (chart)
Gov. Perdue: 36 / 47 (chart)
Thinking about your current United States Senator, Richard Burr . . . do you think [he has
performed his job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person
a chance?
19% Deserves re-election, 42% Time for a new person to have a chance
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 10:52 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Progressive Change Campaign Committee (D) / Research 2000
10/27-28/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(PCCC release)
Indiana
Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
56% Favor, 37% Oppose
Favorable / Unfavorable
Blanche Lincoln: 41 / 49
2010 Senate
Lincoln 41%, Gilbert Baker 39%
Lincoln 43%, Curtis Coleman 38%
If Blanche Lincoln votes against a public option as part of health care reform, will that make you more likely or less likely to vote for her in the 2010 general election or would it have no real effect on your vote?
16% More, 29% Less, 55% No effect
If Blanche Lincoln joined Republican senators in filibustering and killing a health care reform bill because it had a public health insurance option, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for her in the 2010 general election or would it have no real effect on your vote?
15% More, 32% Less, 53% No effect
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 10:13 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Progressive Change Campaign Committee (D) / Research 2000
10/24-25/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(PCCC release)
Indiana
Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
52% Favor, 42% Oppose
Do you think adding a public option would be harmful to the people of Indiana, helpful, or make no difference?
53% Help, 40% Harm, 7% No difference
Favorable / Unfavorable
Evan Bayh: 62 / 30
If Evan Bayh voted against a strong public health insurance option as part of health care reform, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in the 2010 general election or would it have no real effect on your vote?
19% More, 27% Less, 54% No effect
If Evan Bayh joined Republican senators in filibustering and killing a health care bill because it had a public option, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in the 2010 general election or would it have no real effect on your vote?
18% More, 29% Less, 53% No effect
By Emily Swanson on October 30, 2009 10:07 AM
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