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Poll Update

 

August 20, 2008

POLL: U of Iowa (8/4-13)

By Eric Dienstfrey

University of Iowa
8/4-13/08; 617 LV, 3.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Iowa
Obama 50, McCain 43

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 20, 2008 12:00 AM | | Comments (4) | TrackBacks (0)

August 19, 2008

POLL: SurveyUSA Indiana (8/16-18)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/16-18/08; 645 LV, 3.9%
Mode: IVR

Indiana
McCain 50, Obama 44
(June: Obama 48, McCain 47)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 6:41 PM | | Comments (31) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Times/Bloomberg National (8/15-18)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
8/15-18/08; 1,248 RV, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(Times, results; Bloomberg)

National
Obama 45, McCain 43
(June: Obama 49, McCain 37)

Obama 42, McCain 41, Nader 4, Barr 1
(June: Obama 48, McCain 33, Barr 3, Nader 4)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 5:22 PM | | Comments (35) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Florida (8/18)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/18/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Florida
McCain 48, Obama 46
(July: Obama 49, McCain 47)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 5:05 PM | | Comments (7) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Susquehanna Pennsylvania (8/11-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Susquehanna Polling and Research
8/11-14/08; 700 LV, 3.7%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Pennsylvania
Obama 46, McCain 41
(May: Obama 46, McCain 39)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 5:02 PM | | Comments (7) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Civitas North Carolina (8/14-17)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Civitas / Tel Opinion Research (R)
8/14-17/08; 600 RV, 4.2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

North Carolina
McCain 46, Obama 40, Barr 2
(July: McCain 43, Obama 40, Barr 2)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 5:00 PM | | Comments (2) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Louisiana (8/14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/14/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Louisiana
Sen: Landrieu (D-i) 56, Kennedy (R) 39
(July: Landrieu 51, Kennedy 45)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 3:25 PM | | Comments (3) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Mason-Dixon Utah (8/13-15)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Salt Lake Tribune /
Mason-Dixon
8/13-15/08; 400 LV, 4.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Utah
Gov: Huntsman (R-i) 73, Springmeyer (D) 9

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 1:41 PM | | Comments (4) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Zogby New Jersey (8/7-11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Zogby /
Garden State Equality
8/7-11/08; 803 LV, 3.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New Jersey
Sen: Lautenberg (D-i) 50, Zimmer (R) 32

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 1:41 PM | | Comments (3) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Quinnipiac National (8/12-17)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Quinnipiac University
8/12-17/08; 1,547 LV, 2.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 47, McCain 42
(July: Obama 50, McCain 41)

Bush's Job Approval:
Approve 30, Disapprove 64
(July: Approve 26, Disapprove 67)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 8:53 AM | | Comments (71) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: SurveyUSA Minnesota (8/13-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/13-14/08; 682 LV, 3.8%
Mode: IVR

Minnesota
Obama 47, McCain 45
(June: Obama 47, McCain 46)

Sen: Coleman (R-i) 46, Franken (D) 39
(July: Coleman 52, Franken 39)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 19, 2008 12:28 AM | | Comments (25) | TrackBacks (0)

August 18, 2008

POLL: CBS/Times Democratic Delegates (7/16 - 8/17)

By Eric Dienstfrey

CBS News /
New York Times
7/16-8/17/08; 917 Democratic Delegates, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews and Online
(CBS story, results; Times story, results)

Who would you like Barack Obama to choose as his vice-presidential nominee?

    28% Hillary Clinton
    6% Joe Biden
    4% John Edwards
    4% Bill Richardson
    4% Evan Bayh
    3% Jim Webb
    2% Kathleen Sebelius
    2% Tim Kaine
    2% Wesley Clark

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 10:44 PM | | Comments (11) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Illinois (8/12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/12/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Illinois
Obama 55, McCain 40
(July: Obama 50, McCain 37)

Sen: Durbin (D-i) 61, Sauerberg (R) 33
(July: Durbin 63, Sauerberg 28)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 5:23 PM | | Comments (7) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Georgia (8/14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/14/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Georgia
McCain 53, Obama 44
(July: McCain 53, Obama 42)

Sen: Chambliss (R-i) 50, Martin (D) 44
(July: Chambliss 51, Martin 40)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 2:57 PM | | Comments (16) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Ayres McHenry Tennessee (8/10-12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R) /
Lamar Alexander
8/10-12/08; 500 RV, 4.4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Tennessee
McCain 51, Obama 36
(March: McCain 53, Obama 36)
Sen: Alexander (R-i) 60, Tuke (D) 30
(March: Alexander 59, Tuke 28)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 2:30 PM | | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Siena New York (8/11-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Siena College
8/11-14/08; 627 RV, 3.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New York State
Obama 47, McCain 39
(July: Obama 50, McCain 37)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 2:25 PM | | Comments (5) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Benenson Oklahoma (8/12-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Benenson Strategy Group (D) /
DSCC
8/12-14/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Oklahoma
Sen: Inhofe (R-i) 50, Rice (D) 41

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 18, 2008 2:14 PM | | Comments (0) | TrackBacks (0)

August 17, 2008

POLL: PPP Ohio (8/12-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Public Policy Polling (D)
8/12-14/08; 950 LV, 3.2%
Mode: IVR

Ohio
McCain 45, Obama 45
(July: Obama 48, McCain 40)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 17, 2008 5:48 PM | | Comments (105) | TrackBacks (0)

August 15, 2008

POLL: Rasmussen Maine (8/12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/12/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Maine
Obama 53, McCain 39
(July: Obama 49, McCain 41)

Sen:
Collins (R-i) 55, Allen (D) 40
(July: Collins 53, Allen 43)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 4:15 PM | | Comments (17) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Ivan Moore Alaska (8/9-12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Ivan Moore Research
8/9-12/08; 501 RV, 4.4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(Anchorage Press)

Alaska

Senate:
Begich (D) 56, Stevens (R-i) 39, Bird (i) 2
GOP Primary: Stevens 63, Cuddy 20, Vickers 7

House At-Large:
Berkowitz (D) 51, Young (R-i) 41, Wright (i) 4
Parnell (R) 46, Berkowtiz 42, Wright 3
GOP Primary: Young 46, Parnell 40, LeDoux 7

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 1:55 PM | | Comments (5) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Daily Tracking (8/12-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/12-14/08; 3,000 LV, 2%
Mode: IVR

National
Obama 47, McCain 45

Gallup Poll
8/12-14/08; 2,690 RV, 2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 44, McCain 44

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 1:16 PM | | Comments (71) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Economist National (8/11-13)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Economist /
YouGov-Polimetrix
8/11-13/08; 1,000 Adults, 4%

National
Obama 41, McCain 40
(8/6: Obama 42, McCain 39)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 1:16 PM | | Comments (12) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Zogby National (8/12-14)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Zogby Interactive
8/12-14/08; 3,339 LV, 1.7%
Mode: Internet

National
Obama 44, McCain 42
Obama 43, McCain 40, Barr 6, Nader 2

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 11:03 AM | | Comments (12) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen North Carolina (8/13)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/13/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

North Carolina
McCain 50, Obama 44
(July: McCain 48, Obama 45)

Gov:
Perdue (D) 51, McCrory (R) 45
(June: Perdue 47, McCrory 46)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 15, 2008 10:41 AM | | Comments (24) | TrackBacks (0)

August 14, 2008

POLL: Rocky Mountain News Colorado (8/11-13)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rocky Mountain News/CBS News 4/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)/
RBI Strategy & Research (D)
8/11-13/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(RMN, CBS4)

Colorado
McCain 44, Obama 41, Barr 3, Nader 2
Sen: Udall (D) 44, Schaffer (R) 38, Moore (i) 5, Kinsey (G) 2

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 14, 2008 4:58 PM | | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Colorado, Minnesota (8/13)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
Mode: IVR

Colorado (8/13/08; 500 LV, 4.5%)
McCain 49, Obama 48
(July: Obama 50, McCain 47)

Sen: Udall (D) 50, Schaffer (R)
(July: Udall 49, Schaffer 46)

Minnesota (8/13/08; 500 LV, 4.5%)
Obama 49, McCain 45
(July: Obama 52, McCain 39)

Sen: Coleman (R-i) 49, Franken (D) 46
(July: Franken 49, Coleman 46)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 14, 2008 2:58 PM | | Comments (39) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: UT Texas (7/18-30)

By Eric Dienstfrey

University of Texas
7/18-30/08; 668 RV, 3.8%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Texas
McCain 43, Obama 33, Barr 5, Nader 2
Sen: Cornyn (R-i) 44, Noriega (D) 31

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 14, 2008 1:16 PM | | Comments (6) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Cole Hargrave Snodgrass New Jersey (7/30-31)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)/
Club for Growth
7/30-31/08; 400 RV, 4.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New Jersey
Sen: Zimmer (R) 36, Lautenberg (D-i) 35, Scheurer (L) 2, Lobman (S) 1, Brooks (i) 1, Carter (i) 1

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 14, 2008 1:11 PM | | Comments (5) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: IBD/TIPP National (8/4-9)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Investory's Business Daily/TIPP
8/4-9/08; 925 RV, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 43, McCain 38 (July: Obama 40, McCain 37)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 14, 2008 11:54 AM | | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)

August 13, 2008

POLL: Strategic Vision Wisconsin (8/8-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Strategic Vision (R)
8/8-10/08; 800 LV, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Wisconsin
Obama 47, McCain 42

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 9:38 PM | | Comments (39) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: SurveyUSA Washington (8/11-12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/11-12/08; 718 LV, 3.7%
Mode: IVR

Washington
Obama 51, McCain 44
(July: Obama 55, McCain 39)

Gov:
Gregoire (D-i) 50, Rossi (R) 48
(July: Gregoire 49, Rossi 46)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 9:29 PM | | Comments (20) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Nevada (8/11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/11/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Nevada
McCain 48, Obama 45 (July: McCain 45, Obama 42)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 4:52 PM | | Comments (17) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Virginia (8/12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/12/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Virginia
McCain 48, Obama 47
(July: McCain 48, Obama 47)

Sen:
Warner (D) 61, Gilmore (R) 35
(July: Warner 59, Gilmore 36)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 4:50 PM | | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Kansas (8/11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/11/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Kansas
McCain 55, Obama 41 (July: McCain 58, Obama 35)

Sen: Roberts (R-i) 56, Slattery (D) 37
(July: Roberts 61, Slattery 33)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 2:50 PM | | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Harris National (8/1-7)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Harris Interactive
8/1-7/08; 2,488 RV
Mode: Internet

National
Obama 47, McCain 38, Nader 3, Barr 2
(July: Obama 44, McCain 35, Nader 2, Barr 2)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 2:43 PM | | Comments (5) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: InsiderAdvantage Virginia (8/12)

By Eric Dienstfrey

InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position
8/12/08; 416 LV, 5%
Mode: IVR

Virginia
McCain 43, Obama 43

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 1:57 PM | | Comments (28) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Pew National (7/31 - 8/10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Pew Research Center
7/31-8/10/08; 2,414 RV, 2.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 46, McCain 43 (July: Obama 47, McCain 42)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 12:26 PM | | Comments (44) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania (8/4-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Franklin & Marshall College
8/4-10/08; Likely Voters
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Pennsylvania
Obama 46, McCain 41

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 13, 2008 10:57 AM | | Comments (35) | TrackBacks (0)

August 12, 2008

POLL: SurveyUSA North Carolina (8/9-11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/9-11/08; 655 LV, 3.9%
Mode: IVR

North Carolina
McCain 49, Obama 45
(July: McCain 50, Obama 45)

Sen: Dole (R-i) 46, Hagan (D) 41, Cole (L) 7
(July: Dole 54, Hagan 42)

Gov: Perdue (D) 47, McCrory (R) 44, Munger (L) 5
(July: Perdue 47, McCrory 46, Munger 3)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 6:46 PM | | Comments (15) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: InsiderAdvantage Florida (8/11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position
8/11/08; 418 RV, 5%
Mode: IVR

Florida
McCain 48, Obama 44, Barr 2

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 5:51 PM | | Comments (22) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Gallup Open Ended National (8/7-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Gallup Poll
8/7-10/08; 903 RV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews*

National
Obama 45, McCain 38, Barr 1, Nader 1, Clinton 1

* "The question, part of an Aug. 7-10 Gallup Poll, allowed respondents to name any candidate or political party, without prompting of specific names from Gallup interviewers. This is a different approach than Gallup takes in its Daily tracking polling and USA Today/Gallup polls, in which voters are asked whether they would vote for Barack Obama or John McCain for president if the election were held today."

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 4:25 PM | | Comments (13) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Hays Alaska (8/6-7)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Hays Research Group (D)
8/6-7/08; 400 Adults, 4.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Alaska
Obama 45, McCain 40, Nader 2

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 2:49 PM | | Comments (33) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: SurveyUSA Kentucky (8/9-11)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/9-11/08; 636 LV, 3.9%
Mode: IVR

Kentucky
McCain 55, Obama 37 (June: McCain 53, Obama 41)
Sen: McConnell (R-i) 52, Lunsford (D) 40 (June: McConnell 50, Lunsford 46)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 2:17 PM | | Comments (6) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Mellman Georgia (8/6-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

The Mellman Group (D)/
Jim Martin
8/6-10/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Georgia
Sen: Chambliss (R-i) 42, Martin (D) 36, Buckley (L) 3

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 1:10 PM | | Comments (1) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Quinnipiac New Jersey (8/4-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Quinnipiac University
8/4-10/08; 1,468 LV, 2.6%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New Jersey
Obama 51, McCain 41
Sen: Lautenberg (D-i) 48, Zimmer (R) 41

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 12, 2008 12:07 PM | | Comments (1) | TrackBacks (0)

August 11, 2008

POLL: Rasmussen Iowa (8/7)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/7/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Iowa
Obama 49, McCain 44
(July: Obama 51, McCain 41)*
Sen: Harkin (D-i) 60, Reed (R) 36
(July: Harkin 55, Reed 37)

* Numbers now reflect those with leaners

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 11, 2008 3:18 PM | | Comments (39) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: Rasmussen Oregon (8/7)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Rasmussen Reports
8/7/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Oregon
Obama 52, McCain 42
(July: Obama 49, McCain 40)
Sen: Smith (R-i) 50, Merkley (D) 44
(July: Smith 46, Merkley 46)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 11, 2008 3:10 PM | | Comments (15) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: PPP Colorado (8/5-7)

By Eric Dienstfrey

Public Policy Polling (D)
8/5-7/08; 933 LV, 3.2%
Mode: IVR

Colorado
Obama 48, McCain 44
(July: Obama 47, McCain 43)
Sen: Udall (D) 47, Schaffer (R) 41
(July: Udall 47, Schaffer 38)

By Eric Dienstfrey on August 11, 2008 2:09 PM | | Comments (19) | TrackBacks (0)

POLL: SurveyUSA Virginia (8/8-10)

By Eric Dienstfrey

SurveyUSA
8/8-10/08; 655 LV, 3.9%
Mode: IVR

Virginia
McCain 48, Obama 47
(June: Obama 49, McCain 47)
Sen: