November 20, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Fox News / Opinion Dynamics
11/17-19/09; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Fox: Health Care, Fort Hood, Swine flu)
National
Based on what you know about the health care reform legislation being
considered right now, do you favor or oppose the plan?
35% Favor, 51% Oppose (chart)
Do you think abortion procedures should or should not be covered by private
insurance plans?
37% Should, 51% Should not
Do you favor or oppose the amendment to the health care reform bill that
passed the U.S. House of Representatives last week that prevents any federal
funds from being used for abortions?
50% Favor, 38% Oppose
If an individual receives financial assistance from the federal government
to purchase private health insurance, do you think they should or should not be
able to buy an insurance plan that covers abortion procedures?
39% Should, 52% Should not
On the issue of abortion, would you say you are more pro-life or more pro-choice?
47% Pro-life, 44% Pro-choice
How do you think the recent shooting incident at the Army installation in
Fort Hood, Texas where 13 people were killed is most accurately described -- as
an act of terrorism or as a killing spree?
44% Act of terrorism, 49% Killing spree
Do you think it is more likely that alleged Fort Hood shooter Nidal Hasan
was a Muslim extremist protesting U.S. foreign policy or that he was just
someone who went nuts and shot at his co-workers?
38% Protesting U.S. foreign policy, 45% Just went nuts
There have been reports that some people who knew Nidal Hasan could see
there was something wrong but did nothing. Do you think they kept silent mainly
because they didn't want to be accused of being prejudice against his religion
or mainly because they did not think he was really that dangerous?
46% Didn't want to be seen as prejudiced, 38% Didn't think of him as dangerous
Do you think the medical testing of the swine flu vaccine was done as
quickly as possible while still making sure the vaccine is safe, or was the
testing for the vaccine done too quickly so that people can't be sure it is
safe?
45% Done quickly while being safe, 40% Too quickly, can't be sure it's safe
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 4:43 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/17/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
California
2010 Senate (trends)
Boxer 46%, Fiorina 37% (chart)
Boxer 46%, DeVore 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barbara Boxer: 51 / 41 (chart)
Chuck DeVore: 31 / 25
Carly Fiorina: 40 / 29
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 12:03 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/13-15/09; 1,066 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
National
Obama Job Approval (previously released)
49% Approve, 46% Disapprove (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Mike Huckabee: 36 / 37 (chart)
Sarah Palin: 40 / 49 (chart)
Ron Paul: 23 / 34
Mitt Romney: 30 / 39 (chart)
2012 President
Obama 49%, Huckabee 44%
Obama 51%, Palin 43%
Obama 46%, Paul 38%
Obama 48%, Romney 43%
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 11:26 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Marist
11/12, 11/16-17/09; 805 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
365 Democrats, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
New York
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
72% Cuomo, 21% Paterson (chart)
2010 Governor: General Election
69% Cuomo, 24% Lazio (chart)
44% Paterson, 44% Lazio (chart)
Do you want David Paterson to run for governor in 2010, or not?
30% Yes, 63% No
Job Approval / Disapproval
20% Excellent/Good, 76% Fair/Poor (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 11:20 AM
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By Emily Swanson
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
11/16-19/09; 2,400 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 55 / 39 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 40 / 51
Harry Reid: 32 / 58
Mitch McConnell: 14 / 68
John Boehner: 13 / 65
Democratic Party: 44 / 50
Republican Party: 23 / 67
State of the Country
41% Right Direction, 55% Wrong Track (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 11:11 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/143-15/09; 1,014 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN story)
National
Which of the following comes closer to your view of the budget deficit -- the government should run a deficit if necessary when the country is in a recession and is at war, or the government should balance the budget even when the country is in a recession and is at war?
30% Run a deficit, 67% Balance the budget
How would you rate the economic conditions in the country today -- as very good, somewhat good, somewhat poor, or very poor?
18% Very/Somewhat Good, 82% Very/Somewhat Poor
Do you think the Democrats or the Republicans are more responsible for the country's current economic problems?
27% Democrats, 38% Republicans, 27% Both
Do you think Barack Obama's policies have improved economic conditions, worsened economic conditions, or had no effect on economic conditions in the country?
36% Improved, 28% Worsened, 35% No effect
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 10:50 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/18/09; 570 likely Republican primary voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Arizona
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
McCain 45%, Heyworth 43%, Simcox 4%
Favorable / Unfavorable (among Republicans)
John McCain: 74 / 24
J.D. Heyworth: 67 / 16
Chris Simcox: 27 / 26
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 10:21 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/17/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen: Governor, Senate)
New York
Job approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 58 / 41 (chart)
Gov. Paterson: 38 / 59 (chart)
2010 Senate
Gillibrand 45%, Pataki 42% (chart)
2010 Governor
41% Lazio, 37% Paterson (chart)
57% Giuliani, 30% Paterson (chart)
57% Cuomo, 29% Lazio (chart)
49% Cuomo, 46% Giuliani (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
George Pataki: 51 / 44
Kirsten Gillibrand: 40 / 37 (chart)
David Paterson: 36 / 59 (chart)
Rudy Giuliani: 58 / 38
Rick Lazio: 36 / 44
Andrew Cuomo: 56 / 34
Terrorist suspects linked to the 9/11 attacks will now be tried in a New York City civilian court rather than in a military tribunal. Do you agree or disagree with the decision to try these terrorist suspects in a New York City civilian court?
35% Agree, 55% Disagree
By Emily Swanson on November 20, 2009 9:34 AM
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November 19, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/13-15/09; 763 registered voters, 3.6^ margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
Missouri
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Nixon: 42 / 25 (chart)
Sen. Bond: 41 / 34 (chart)
Sen. McCaskill: 42 / 45 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 5:48 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Fox News / Opinion Dynamics
11/17-18/09; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Fox: story, results; Palin: results, results)
National
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 46 / 46 (chart)
Dems: 85 / 9 (chart)
Reps: 15 / 80 (chart)
inds: 34 / 51 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
26% Approve, 63% Disapprove (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 54 / 42 (chart)
Sarah Palin: 47 / 42 (chart)
Mike Huckabee: 45 / 23 (chart)
Mitt Romney: 38 / 27 (chart)
Newt Gingrich: 38 / 38
Oprah Winfrey: 61 / 26
Nancy Pelosi: 28 / 50
Do you think Sarah Palin has been treated fairly or unfairly by the press?
31% Fairly, 61% Unfairly
Party ID
38% Democrat, 36% Republican, 20% independent (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 5:15 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Marist
11/12, 11/16-17/09; 805 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
216 Republicans, 7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)
New York
2010 Senate: Republican Primary (trends)
71% Giuliani, 24% Pataki
2010 Senate: General Election
54% Giuliani, 40% Gillibrand (chart)
2010 Governor: Republican Primary (trends)
84% Giuliani, 13% Lazio
2010 Governor: General Election
60% Giuliani, 35% Paterson (chart)
53% Cuomo, 43% Giuliani (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 4:43 PM
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By Emily Swanson
DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
11/16-18/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Republican primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)
Florida
Favorable / Unfavorable
Kendrick Meek: 23 / 9
Charlie Crist: 59 / 32 (chart)
Marco Rubio: 21 / 22
Alex Sink: 25 / 9
Bill McCollum: 39 / 24
Paula Dockery: 9 / 4
Barack Obama: 51 / 45 (chart)
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
Crist 47%, Rubio 37% (chart)
2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
Crist (R) 50%, Meek (D) 33% (chart)
Meek (D) 38%, Rubio (R) 30% (chart)
Crist (i) 32%, Meek (D) 31%, Rubio (R) 27%
Crist (D) 45%, Rubio (R) 34%
2010 Governor: Republican Primary (trends)
McCollum 45%, Dockery 9%
2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
McCollum (R) 35%, Sink (D) 33% (chart)
Dink (D) 35%, Dockery (D) 13%
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 4:27 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Pew Research Center
11/13-16/09; 1,004 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)
National
Most Closely Followed Story
27% Debate over health care reform
21% The investigation into the shootings at Fort Hood Army post in Texas
19% Reports about swine flu and the vaccine
15% Reports about the condition of the U.S. economy
5% The debate over whether to send more troops into Afghanistan
2% President Obama's trip to Asia
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 1:44 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/13-15/09;'1,066 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
National
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 46 (chart)
Dems: 83 / 12 (chart)
Reps: 10 / 87 (chart)
Inds: 47 / 46 (chart)
Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
40% Support, 52% Oppose (chart)
Do you think that Barack Obama legitimately won the Presidential election last year, or do you think that ACORN stole it for him?
62% Legitimately won the election, 26% ACORN stole it
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 12:58 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Zogby / League of American Voters*
11/16-17/09; 501 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Zogby release)
*The League of American Voters is a conservative non-profit opposed to health care reform legislation
Arkansas
Favorable / Unfavorable
Blanche Lincoln: 52 / 38
Mark Pryor: 62 / 24
Gilbert Baker: 22 / 7
Kim Hendren: 24 / 9
2010 Senate
41% Lincoln, 39% Baker
45% Lincoln, 29% Hendren
Do you support or oppose the healthcare bill proposed by President Obama and now making its way through Congress?
29% Support, 64% Oppose
If you knew that Senator Blanche Lincoln supported the proposed healthcare bill, does that make you more or less likely to vote for her in the upcoming Senate election, or does it make no difference to your decision?
18% More likely to support, 48% More likely to oppose, 31% No difference
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 12:03 PM
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By Emily Swanson
SurveyUSA
11/18/09; 800 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
California
New guidelines on breast cancer screening recommend women begin to be screened at age 50, instead of age 40, which was the previous recommendation. Do you think the new guidelines are a good idea?
18% Good idea, 76% Bad idea
Do you think the new recommendations are based more on medicine? Or more on money?
12% Medicine, 77% Money
Among women 35+ who have had mammograms:
Will this affect how often you get future mammograms?
33% Yes, 65% No
Among women 35+ who have not had mammograms:
Will this affect when you go for your first mammogram?
41% Yes, 48% No
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 11:17 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Pew Research Center
11/12-15/09; 1,003 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)
National
As of right now, do you generally favor or generally oppose the health care proposals being discussed in Congress?
42% Favor, 39% Oppose
Among those who oppose: As I read some reasons people have given for opposing health care reform, please tell me if each one is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason why you oppose the health care reform proposals being discussed in Congress.
Too much government involvement in health care:
85% Major reason, 7% Minor reason, 7% Not a reason
Your own health care may suffer:
70% Major reason, 16% Minor reason, 13% Not a reason
Health care reform is too expensive for the country:
78% Major reason, 13% Minor reason, 8% Not a reason
Government money might pay for abortions:
56% Major reason, 21% Minor reason, 22% Not a reason
The plan might cover illegal immigrants:
67% Major reason, 20% Minor reason, 14% Not a reason
Among those who oppose:
38% Too much government involvement in health care
27% Health care reform is too expensive for the country
14% Your own health care may suffer
8% Government money might pay for abortions
7% The plan might cover illegal immigrants
Asked of all: If the government health care reform plan guarantees certain medical benefits for all Americans, do you think that abortion should or should not be included as one of those benefits?
28% Should be included, 55% Should not be included
Do you strongly favor, favor, oppose, or strongly oppose making it more DIFFICULT for a woman to get an abortion?
40% Favor, 43% Oppose
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 10:46 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/13-15/09; ~500 adults (half samples), 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
As you may know, a soldier named Nidal Hasan recently shot and killed thirteen people in Ft. Hood Texas. Based on what you know about this matter, do you consider Hasan's actions to be an act of terrorism, or do you consider this to be an act of murder with no direct connection to terrorism?
45% Terrorism, 47% Murder
Based on what you know about this matter, do you think federal law enforcement agencies or the U.S. military should have been able to prevent this from happening, or don't you think so?
64% Should have been able to prevent, 31% Don't think so
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 10:26 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/17/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
California
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 55 / 43 (chart)
Gov. Schwarzenegger: 29 / 69 (chart)
2010 Governor (trends)
Whitman (R) 41%, Brown (D) 41%
Brown (D) 43%, Poizner (R) 32%
Brown (D) 42%, Campbell (R) 33%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Meg Whitman: 47 / 27
Jerry Brown: 48 / 41
Steve Poizner: 36 / 26
Tom Campbell: 40 / 20
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 9:49 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Quinnipiac
11/9-16/09; 2,518 registered voters, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)
National
Obama Approval on Health Care
41% Approve, 53% Disapprove (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 50 / 38 (chart)
Democratic Party: 39 / 46
Republican Party: 28 / 53
State of the Country
30% Satisfied, 69% Dissatisfied (chart)
Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Barack Obama:
46% I like Barack Obama as a person and I also like most of his policies
28% I like Barack Obama as a person but I don't like most of his policies
1% I don't like Barack Obama as a person but I DO like most of his policies
20% I don't like Barack Obama as a person and I also don't like most of his policies?
Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
45% Obama, 36% Republicans in Congress
Do you approve or disapprove of this health care reform plan? [the health care reform plan that was recently passed by the U.S. House of Representatives]
35% Approve, 51% Disapprove (chart)
Do you support or oppose giving people the option of being covered by a government health insurance plan that would compete with private plans?
57% Support, 35% Oppose
There is a proposal that would allow states to opt out of a public option - that is it would be left up to each state to decide whether or not to give people the option of being covered by a government health insurance plan. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
43% Good idea, 49% Bad idea
Some have suggested that the creation of a public option should only be triggered if the private market does not meet benchmarks to extend coverage to all Americans. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
38% good idea, 47% Bad idea
Do you agree or disagree with the following: Congress should approve a health care overhaul plan even if only Democrats support it.
36% Agree, 60% Disagree
Do you think the Republicans in Congress are, or are not, making a good faith effort to cooperate with Obama and the Democrats on health care reform?
29% Making effort, 59% Not making effort
Do you think Obama and the Democrats in Congress are, or are not, making a good faith effort to cooperate with the Republicans on health care reform?
43% Making effort, 46% Not making effort
By Emily Swanson on November 19, 2009 9:17 AM
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November 18, 2009
By Emily Swanson
St. Cloud State University
10/26-11/4/09; 550 adults, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(St. Cloud State release)
Minnesota
Job Rating
Gov. Pawlenty: 49% Excellent/Good, 48% Only Fair/Poor (chart)
Pres. Obama: 50% Excellent/Good, 47% Only Fair/Poor (chart)
If the 2012 presidential election was held today with Barack Obama
being the Democratic Candidate and Tim Pawlenty being the Republican
Candidate, would you vote for Obama or Pawlenty?
49% Obama, 40% Pawlenty
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 2:45 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/13-15/09; 310 Democrats, 4.5% margin of errpr
281 Republicans, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Democrats: If you had to choose, would you rather see the Democratic party in your area nominate candidates who don't agree with you on some major issues but have a good chance of beating the Republican candidate, or would you rather see the Democratic party nominate candidates who agree with you on all major issues but have a poor chance of beating the Republican candidate?
Republicans: If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican party in your area nominate candidates who don't agree with you on some major issues but have a good chance of beating the Democratic candidate, or would you rather see the Republican party nominate candidates who agree with you on all major issues but have a poor chance of beating the
Democratic candidate?
Democrats:
58% Prefer candidates who can beat the other party
38% Prefer candidates who agree with you on issues
Republicans:
43% Prefer candidates who can beat the other party
51% Prefer candidates who agree with you on issues
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 11:54 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/13-15/09; 763 registered voters, 3.6% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)
National
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 43 / 52 (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Roy Blunt: 30 / 38
Robin Carnahan: 40 / 36
Chuck Purgason: 7 / 14
2010 Senate (trends)
43% Carnahan, 42% Blunt (chart)
42% Carnahan, 35% Purgason
2010 Senate: Republican Primary
53% Blunt, 16% Purgason
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 11:25 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Pew Research Center
11/12-15/09; 1,003 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)
National
How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of Islamic extremism around the WORLD these days?
49% Very concerned
29% Somewhat concerned
12% Not too concerned
8% Not at all concerned
How concerned, if at all, are you about the possible rise of Islamic extremism IN THE U.S.?
52% Very concerned
27% Somewhat concerned
11% Not too concerned
7% Not at all concerned
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 11:19 AM
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By Emily Swanson
ABC News / Washington POst
11/12-15/09; 1,001 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ABC: story, results; Post: story, graphics)
National
Who do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Afghanisan - Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
46% Obama, 41% Republicans
Do you think Obama's policies are making the United States safer from terrorism, less safe, or are they not making much difference in that?
27% Safer, 22% Less safe, 49% Not much difference
On another subject, all in all, considering the costs to the United States versus
the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Afghanistan has been worth
fighting, or not?
44% Worth fighting, 52% Not worth fighting
If Obama decides to send more U.S. forces to Afghanistan, would you prefer that he send a smaller number of U.S. forces mainly to train the Afghan military; or that he send a larger number of U.S. forces to fight al Qaeda and the Taliban as well as to train the Afghan military?
45% Smaller number, 46% Larger number
In deciding U.S. policy in Afghanistan do you think Obama is giving U.S. military leaders too much influence, too little influence, or about the right amount?
9% Too much, 35% Too little, 51% Right amount
What do you think would do more to increase the risk of a terrorist attack occurring here in the United States - withdrawing from Afghanistan, or remaining in Afghanistan - or is the risk of terrorism about the same either way?
23% Withdrawing, 12% Remaining, 64% Same either way
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 11:14 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Gallup
11/5-8/09; 1,008 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release)
National
Regardless of whether you favor or oppose health care legislation, what are some of the concerns you would have if a new healthcare measure is passed into law? [OPEN-ENDED]
|
Among All Adults |
Among those who favor legislation |
Among those who oppose legislation |
| Costs |
24 |
22 |
25 |
| Government-run healthcare/Bureaucracy/Government take-over/Socialized medicine |
18 |
9 |
28 |
| Making sure everyone is covered/Has access |
12 |
19 |
4 |
| Effect on quality of care |
7 |
6 |
8 |
| Government plan/public option |
6 |
6 |
7 |
| Ability to get needed treatments/Rationing care/Wait times for care |
5 |
6 |
4 |
| Unclear how plan would work |
5 |
4 |
6 |
| Effect on senior citizens/Medicare |
4 |
3 |
5 |
| Increased taxes |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| Would provide coverage to illegal immigrants |
3 |
2 |
4 |
| Being able to see current doctors |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| Forcing people to have insurance/Fines for not having |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| How it will be paid for |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| Being able to keep current plan, benefits |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| Would pay for abortions |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| Coverage for prescriptions |
1 |
2 |
1 |
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 10:49 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/13-15/09; 928 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Now thinking specifically about the health insurance plans available to most Americans, would you favor or oppose creating a public health insurance option administered by the federal government that would compete with plans offered by private health insurance companies?
56% Favor, 42% Oppose
Would you favor or oppose that plan if state governments were able to decide that the public health insurance option administered by the federal government would not apply to all people living in those states?
28% Favor, 66% Oppose
Now here are a few provisions in the health care bill passed by the U.S. House. Please tell me whether you favor or oppose each one.
Requiring all Americans who do not have health insurance to get it:
49% Favor, 49% Oppose
Reducing federal spending on Medicare managed care programs:
30% Favor, 66% Oppose
Providing subsidies to families that make less than $88,000 a year to help them purchase health insurance:
67% Favor, 32% Oppose
Preventing health insurance companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions:
60% Favor, 40% Oppose
As you may know, nearly every Republican in the U.S. House voted against the health care bill which recently passed. Do you think that is mostly an indication that there is something wrong with the bill or mostly an indication that there is something wrong with the Republican Party's approach to health care legislation?
46% Something wrong with the bill, 49% Something wrong with the Republican approach
Do you think abortion should be legal under any circumstances, legal under only certain circumstances, or illegal in all circumstances?
26% Legal under any
10% Legal in most
40% Legal in a few
23% Illegal in all
Generally speaking, are you in favor of using public funds for abortions when the woman cannot afford it, or are you opposed to that?
37% Favor, 61% Oppose
Now think about women who are covered by private health insurance plans that are paid for by private individuals or employers with no money from the government involved. Do you think private health insurance plans should cover some or all of the costs of an abortion, or do you think that women who want to get an abortion should have to pay the complete costs of that abortion out of their own pockets?
45% Health insurance should cover, 51% Pay all costs herself
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 10:17 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Quinnipiac
11/9-16/09; 2,518 registered voters, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)
National
Obama Job Approval
48% Approve, 42% Disapprove (chart)
Reps: 14 / 77 (chart)
Dems: 82 / 10 (chart)
Inds: 43 / 46 (chart)
Economy: 43 / 52 (chart)
Foreign Policy: 49 / 42 (chart)
Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
48% Right thing
41% Shouldn't be involved
Do you think the United States will be successful in building a stable democratic government in Afghanistan or not?
22% Yes, 63% No
Do you think the United States will be successful in eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan or not?
36% Yes, 53% No
General Stanley McChrystal, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, has asked President Obama to send 40,000 additional combat troops. Should Obama send the troops or not?
47% Yes, 42% No
Do you trust President Obama to make the right decisions about U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan or not?
53% Yes, 42% No
Do you trust the U.S. military to make the right recommendations about U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan or not?
77% Yes, 18% No
Do you think the United States is heading for the same kind of involvement in Afghanistan as it had in the Vietnam War, or do you think the United States will avoid that kind of involvement this time?.
35% Same as Vietnam, 51% Will avoid that
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 9:06 AM
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By Emily Swanson
CBS News
11/13-16/09; 1,167 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CBS: Health Care - story, results; Afghanistan - story, results; Terrorism trials - story;
Fort Hood - story)
National
Obama Job Approval
53% Approve, 36% Disapprove (chart)
Foreign Policy: 50 / 36 (chart)
Economy: 49 / 43 (chart)
Afghanistan: 38 / 43
Health Care: 44 / 48 (chart)
Congressional Job Approval
26% Approve, 60% Disapprove (chart)
Approval / Disapproval on Health Care
Dems in Congress: 30 / 59
Reps in Congress: 23 / 62
Which of these comes closest to you view?
34% Abortion should be generally available to those who want it.
40% Abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now
23% Abortion should not be permitted.
From what you've heard or read, do you mostly approve or mostly disapprove of the proposed changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress?
40% Mostly approve, 45% Mostly disapprove (chart)
Would you favor or oppose the government offering some people who are uninsured the choice of a government administered health insurance plan -- also known as a "public option" -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?.
61% Favor, 28% Oppose
Which of the following comes closest to your view about the proposed changes to the health care system now under consideration in Congress?
51% Congress should pass a health care bill that includes a government administered health insurance plan also called a public option.
16% Congress should pass a health care bill that does not include a government administered health insurance plan also called a public option
26% Congress should not pass any health care bill.
If the federal government provides subsidies or credits to help people buy health insurance, do you think those insurance plans should or should not cover abortion procedures?
34% Should, 56% Should not
From what you know so far, which comes closest to your own view?
7% The economic stimulus package has already created a substantial number of new jobs in the U.S.
46% It will create a substantial number of new jobs but hasn't done that yet
42% It will not create a substantial number of new jobs?
From what you have seen or heard about the situation in Afghanistan, what should the United States do now--should the U.S. increase the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan, keep the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan as they are now, or decrease the numbers of troops in Afghanistan?
32% Increase, 20% Keep the same, 39% Decrease
When it comes to dealing with people suspected of involvement in terrorist attacks against the United States, which would you prefer:
40% Trying them in open criminal court with a jury, and a civilian judge
54% Trying them in a closed military court with a military judge?
Do you think the U.S. military had information that could have prevented the shootings that occurred at the Army base in Fort Hood, Texas or not?
51% Could have been prevented
29% Could not have been prevented
By Emily Swanson on November 18, 2009 8:42 AM
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November 17, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Critical Insights
10/23-27/09; 600 registered voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Critical Insights release - requires free registration)
Maine
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 56 / 29
Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Collins: 68 / 22
Sen. Snowe: 70 / 21
Gov. Baldacci: 38 / 52
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 1:57 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/13-15/09; 1,014 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Obama Job Approval
55% Approve, 42% Disapprove (chart)
2010 House: Generic Ballot
49% Democrat, 42% Republican (chart)
As you may know, the U.S. House of Representatives recently passed a bill that would make major changes in the country's health care system. Based on what you have heard or read about that bill, do you generally favor it or generally oppose it?
46% Favor, 49% Oppose (chart)
As you may know, the bill passed by the U.S. House requires approval by the U.S. Senate before it becomes law. Which of the following do you think the Senate should do:
30% Consider the House bill this fall and make relatively minor changes before passing it into law
22% Consider the House bill this fall but pass it into law only if major changes are made
28% Start work on an entirely new bill that would not be ready until sometime next year
17% Stop working on any bills that would change the country's health care system
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 1:28 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
11/9-11/09; 700 registered voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(POS release)
Update: toplines
National
State of the Country
34% Right Direction, 59% Wrong Track (chart)
Obama Job Approval
52% Approve, 44% Disapprove (chart)
Based on what you know, do you favor or oppose President Obama's proposed health
care plan, or do you not yet have an opinion?
29% Favor, 40% Oppose (chart)
Public Opinion Strategies:
- Opposition to President Obama's health care plan is higher after the House vote than our previous tracks (29% favor/40% oppose). Voters' net opposition to the plan has increased from -6% in September (31% favor/37% oppose) to -11% today.
- Voter opposition to President Obama's health care plan is higher than ever measured for President Clinton's plan in 1993/1994 (35% oppose in June 1994).
- Multiple surveys show voters believe President Obama's health care plan will mean their health care costs will increase (46% increase/11% decrease) and their quality of care will get worse (40% get worse/18% get better). Concerns about cost have trended up since September.
- Data continue to show the more people hear about President Obama's health care plan the less they like it (38% the more I like it/52% the less I like it).
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 12:32 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Marist
11/16/09; 602 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews and automated phone
(Marist release)
New York City
Five alleged 9/11 attackers of the World Trade Center will be tried in federal court. Do you think it is a good idea or a bad idea to have this trial located in New York City?
45% Good idea, 41% Bad idea
Do you think having the trial in New York City will make the city more of a target for terrorism, less of a target for terrorism, or make no difference to how much New York City is seen as a target for terrorism?
40% More of a target, 7% Less of a target, 47% No difference
Are you confident or not confident New York City will be able to handle the potential security risks of such a trial?
67% Confident, 22% Not confident
If the trial is held in New York City will you feel more at risk for your personal safety, less at risk, or will it make no difference to how you feel about your personal safety?
34% More at risj, 8% Less at risk, 52% No difference
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 12:05 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CBS News
11/13-15/09; 1,167 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CBS: story, results)
National
Obama Job Approval
53% Approve, 36% Disapprove (chart)
Afghanistan: 38 / 43
Foreign Policy: 50 / 36 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 11:26 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/10/09; 492 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
330 likely Republican primary voters, 5.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
Minnesota
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
30% R.T. Rybak, 30% Mark Dayton, 8% Margaret Anderson Kelliher, 6% Matt Entenza
2010 Governor: Republican Primary
50% Norm Coleman, 11% Marty Seifert, 5% Laura Brod, 1% Tom Emmer
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 10:15 AM
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By Emily Swanson
ABC News / Washington Post
11/12-15/09; 1,001 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ABC: story, results; Post: story, results)
National
Obama Job Approval
56% Approve, 42% Disapprove (chart)
Economy: 51 / 47 (chart)
Health Care: 47 / 49 (chart)
State of the Country
44% Right Direction, 55% Wrong Track (chart)
Overall, which party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?
47% Democrats, 31% Republicans
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 61 / 38 (chart)
Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama administration? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
48% Support, 49% Oppose (chart)
Just your best guess, if the health care system is changed, do you think the quality of _____ will get better, get worse, or remain about the same?
Your health care: 19% Better, 37% Worse, 42% Same
Health care for most people: 34% Better, 38% Worse, 26% Same
Would you support or oppose having the government create a new health insurance plan to compete with private health insurance plans? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
53% Support, 43% Oppose
Say someone buys private health insurance using government assistance to help pay for it. Do you think insurance sold that way should or should not be allowed to include coverage for abortions?
35% Should, 61% Should not
Thinking about politics: Right now, are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress in the next election or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?
38% Re-elect, 50% Look around
Party ID
355 Democrat, 21% Republican, 39% independent (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 17, 2009 9:36 AM
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November 16, 2009
By Emily Swanson
CBS News
11/13-15/09; 873 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CBS: story, results)
National
Favorable / Unfavorable
Sarah Palin: 23 / 38 (chart)
Would you like to see Sarah Palin run for president of the United States in 2012, or not?
24% Would, 66% Would Not
Do you think Sarah Palin would have the ability to be an effective President?
26% Yes, 62% No
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 7:34 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion research Corporation
11/13-15/09; 1,014 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Now here are some questions about Khalid Sheik Mohammed who may be responsible for planning the 9/11 attacks and who is now in custody at a U.S. military prison in another country: If you had to choose, would you rather see Khalid Sheik Mohammed brought to trial in a criminal court run by the civilian judicial system, or would you rather see him tried by a military court run by the U.S. armed forces?
34% Brought to trial in a criminal court run by the civilian justice system
64% Tried by a military court run by the U.S. armed forces
And regardless of which court system you think he should be tried in, if you had to choose, would you rather see Khalid Sheik Mohammed brought to the U.S. to stand trial or would you rather see him tried in a U.S. facility in another country?
60% Brought to the U.S. to stand trial
37% Tried in a U.S> facility in another country
If Khalid Sheik Mohammed is tried in a civilian court in the U.S., do you think he would get a fair trial, or don't you think so?
64% Yes, fair trial
34% No, don't think so
If Khalid Sheik Mohammed is found guilty of planning the 9/11 attacks, which of the following statements best describes your view:
59% You generally support the death penalty and believe he should be executed if he is found guilty
19% You generally oppose the death penalty, but believe he should be executed in this case if he is found guilty
19% You generally oppose the death penalty and believe he should not be executed if he is found guilty
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 4:43 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Susquehanna (R)
11/10-15/09; 850 registered voters, 3.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Susquehanna release)
Delaware
2010 Senate (trends)
45% Beau Biden (D), 40% Mike Castle (R)
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 3:50 PM
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By Emily Swanson
CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
11/13-15/09; 1,014 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)
National
Please tell me whether you think each of the following is or is not qualified to be president:
Sarah Palin: 28% Is qualified, 70% Is not
Joe Biden: 50% Is qualified, 48% Is not
Hillary Clinton: 67% Is qualified, 32% Is not
Mitt Romney: 47% Is qualified, 42% Is not
Mike Huckabee: 43% Is qualified, 47% Is not
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 12:15 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Siena
11/8-12/09; 800 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Siena release)
New York
Favorable / Unfavorable
David Paterson: 33 / 56 (chart)
Andrew Cuomo: 70 / 20
Rick Lazio: 29 / 22
Rudy Giuliani: 62 / 34
Kirsten Gillibrand: 34 / 24 (chart)
George Pataki: 55 / 36
Chuck Schumer: 60 / 30 (chart)
Job Rating
Gov. Paterson: 21% Excellent/Good, 79% Fair/Poor
If David Paterson runs for Governor in 2010, would you vote to elect him or would you prefer someone else?
17% Elect, 69% prefer someone else
Would you like Rudy Giuliani to run for Governor of New York in 2010, United States Senator, or would you prefer that he not run for Governor or Senator in 2010?
32% Governor, 19% Senator, 44% Neither
If Kirsten Gillibrand runs for United States Senator in 2010, would you vote to elect her or would you prefer someone else?
33% Elect, 38% Prefer someone else
2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
75% Cuomo, 16% Paterson (chart)
2010 Governor: General Election
56% Giuliani, 33% Paterson (chart)
42% Lazio, 39% Paterson (chart)
53% Cuomo, 41% Giuliani (chart)
67% Cuomo, 22% Lazio (chart)
2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
49% Giuliani, 43% Gillibrand
45% Gillibrand, 44% Pataki (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 12:03 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/13-14/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
National
Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?
47% Somewhat/Strongly favor, 49% Somewhat/strongly oppose (chart)
If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?
23% Better, 45% Worse, 25% Same
If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?
56% up, 17% Down, 20% Same
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 11:48 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Des Moines Register / Selzer & Co. / Iowa Poll
11/8-11/09; 800 adults, 3.5% margin of error
539 likely voters, 4.2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Des Moines Register: 2010 Gov, Sen))
Iowa
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Culver: 40 / 49
Sen. Harkin: 54 / 33
Sen. Grassley: 57 / 32
Favorable / Unfavorable
Chet Culver (D): 48 / 46
Terry Branstad (R): 60 / 22
Bob Vander Plaats (R): 24 / 12
Christopher Rants (R): 14 / 11
Christian Fong (R) 10 / 6
Chuck Grassley (R): 64 / 30
Roxanne Conlin (D): 22 / 16
2010 Governor (among likely voters)
Branstad 57%, Culver 33%
Vander Plaats 45%, Culver 37%
Culver 42%, Rants 35%
Culver 42%, Fong 34%
2010 Senate (among likely voters)
Grassley 57%, Conlin 30%
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 11:11 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Public Policy Polling (D)
11/1-11/09; 711 registered voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(PPP release)
North Carolina
Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Perdue: 30 / 49 (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 10:37 AM
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By Emily Swanson
Rasmussen
11/13-14/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)
National
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin?
51% Very/Somewhat favorable, 43% Very/Somewhat unfavorable (chart)
Do you plan to read Sarah Palin's new book?
20% Yes, 61% No
Is Sarah Palin a divisive force in the Republican Party, or is she representative of a new direction for the party?
26% Divisive force, 41% Representative of a new direction
Does Sarah Palin share the values of most Republican voters throughout the nation?
41% Yes, 30% No
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 9:51 AM
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By Emily Swanson
ABC News / Washington Post
11/12-15/09; 1,001 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ABC: blog post, results; Post: blog post)
National
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah
Palin?
43% Favorable, 52% Unfavorable (chart)
If Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for her?
9% Definitely would, 37% Would consider, 53% Definitely would not
Regardless of whether or not you'd vote for her, do you think Palin is or is not qualified to serve as president?
38% Is qualified, 60% Is not qualified
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 9:47 AM
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By Emily Swanson
AP-GfK / Stanford University / Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
10/29-11/8/09; 1,502 adults, 2.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(AP-GfK release)
National
State of the Country
38% Right Direction, 57% Wrong Track (chart)
Obama Job Approval
53% Approve, 46% Disapprove (chart)
Economy: 49 / 45 (chart)
Health Care: 47 / 47 (chart)
In general, do you support, oppose or neither support nor oppose the health care reform plans being discussed in Congress?
41% Support, 43% Oppose (chart)
How much, if at all, should the health care system in the United States be CHANGED? Would you say it should be changed...
56% A great deal/A lot, 28% A Moderate amount, 16% Not at all
Would you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law that would require every person to have health insurance, and pay money to the government as a penalty if they do not, unless the person is very poor?
28% Favor, 64% Oppose
Would you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose a law that would require most medium-size and large companies to offer health insurance to their employees or pay money to the government as a penalty if they don't?
52% Favor, 41% Oppose
Would you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose reducing the income taxes paid by small companies if they offer health insurance to their workers?
73% Favor, 19% Oppose
Today, insurance companies can decide not to sell health insurance to a person who is
currently sick or has had a serious illness in the past. A law could require companies to
sell health insurance to these people. This law would probably cause most people to
pay more for health insurance. Would you favor such a law, oppose it, or neither favor
nor oppose it?
43% Favor, 31% Oppose
Today, if a person has health insurance and then gets a serious illness, insurance companies can decide not to renew the person's health insurance. A law could require companies to continue to sell health insurance to these people. This law would also probably cause most people to pay more for health insurance. Would you favor such a law, oppose it, or neither favor nor oppose it?
57% Favor, 22% Oppose
Today, if a person gets a serious illness, insurance companies can increase the amount of money the person has to pay for health insurance. A law could prevent companies from increasing health insurance costs for people who get sick. This law would probably cause most people who are healthy to pay more for health insurance. Would you favor such a law, oppose it, or neither favor nor oppose it?
41% Favor, 31% Oppose
Party ID
30% Democrat, 21% Republican, 44% independent (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 16, 2009 9:37 AM
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November 13, 2009
By Emily Swanson
Gallup
11/5-8/09; 1,008 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release)
National
Congressional Job Approval
26% Approve, 68% Disapprove (chart)
By Emily Swanson on November 13, 2009 4:11 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Zogby
11/4-6/09; 2,293 likely voters, 2.1% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Zogby release)
National
Obama Job Approval
49% Approve, 51% Disapprove
State of the Country
41% Right Direction, 53% Wrong track
By Emily Swanson on November 13, 2009 3:03 PM
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By Emily Swanson
Suffolk University / 7 News
11/4-8/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Suffolk release)
Massachusetts
Favorable / Unfavorable
Deval Patick (D): 43 / 47
Tim Cahill (i): 41 / 13
Martha Coakley (D): 57 / 21
Mike Capuano (D): 38 / 18
Charlie Baker (R): 13 / 7
Christy Mihos (R): 30 / 25
Barack Obama: 62 / 33
Alan Khazei (D): 11 / 9
Steve Pagliuca (D): 35 / 18
Jack E. Robinson (R): 9 / 17
Scott Brown (R): 15 / 8
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 60 / 36
Gov. Patrick: 42 / 51
Do you think Governor Deval Patrick deserves to be re-elected or is it time to elect someone else?
32% deserves re-election, 55% time to elect someone else
2010 Senate Special
Coakley 58%, Brown 27%
Capuano 48%, Brown 29%
Brown 33%, Khazei 30%
Pagliuca 49%, Brown 27%
(additional data from this poll was posted yesterday)
By Emily Swanson on November 13, 2009 2:40 PM
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