| Obama Job Approval | 2010 Generic Ballot | |
National Trends: Obama Job Approval, Party ID, National House Ballot, and more
Poll Updates
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- NV: 60% Sandoval, 36% Reid (Rasmussen 9/1)
- US: National Survey (Fox 9/1-2)
- IL: 37% Brady, 32% Quinn (Tribune 8/28-9/1)
- NH: 2010 GOP Primary (Magellan 9/3)
- US: Obama, Iraq (CNN 9/1-2)
- ID: 52% Otter 36% Allred (Rasmussen 8/31)
- IL: 34% Giannoulias, 34% Kirk (Tribune 8/28-9/1)
- KY 43% Paul, 37% Conway (Braun 8/30-9/1)
- NV: 50% Reid, 47% Angle (Rasmussen 9/1)
- MA: 44% Patrick, 42% Baker, 8% Cahill (Rasmussen 9/1)
- CA: 48% Fiorina, 46% Boxer (SurveyUSA 8/31-9/1)
- AK: 53% Parnell, 43% Berkowitz (Rasmussen 8/31)
- TX: 50% Perry, 38% White (WRS/GOPAC 8/29-31)
- AK: 55% Parnell, 37% Berkowitz (PPP 8/27-28)
- FL: 35% Crist, 34% Rubio, 17% Meek (Crist 8/28-31)
- OH: 45% Portman, 38% Fisher (PPP 8/27-29)
- US: National Survey (YouGov 8/28-31)
- FL: 48% Sink, 47% Scott (Rasmussen 9/1)
Articles and Analysis
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- Converting Gallup's Generic Ballot to Seats
Harry Enten
On Saturday, political scientists at the American Political Science Association conference in Washington, D.C. will debut their models for predicting results in the House of Representatives. In this article, I put forth my own model that translates Gallup's final generic...Read more - Texting Teens 'Outliers'
Emily Swanson - The tactical fallacy
Brendan Nyhan - Underestimating the Gallup likely voter edge?
Harry Enten - Which Michael Brown? 'Outliers'
Emily Swanson - Newsweek Poll 'Cooked?' Please
Mark Blumenthal - Gallup vs. Newsweek on the Generic
Mark Blumenthal - Where's Tufte 'Outliers'
Emily Swanson - Your Grandma On Facebook 'Outliers'
Emily Swanson - Bafumi, Erikson, and Wlezien: A Forecast of the 2010 House Election Outcome
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